Francois Hollande: France's War Against ISIS and the Limits of Western Action in Syria
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Francois Hollande: France's War Against ISIS and the Limits of Western Action in Syria

Confirmed2 chapters

Hollande governed France during the peak of the Syrian crisis, called repeatedly for action against Assad, and saw his country attacked by ISIS fighters radicalized partly by the Syrian war. France was unable to prevent Assad's crimes or ISIS's rise. The Paris attacks of November 2015 brought the Syrian catastrophe home — literally.

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Chapter 01custom01 / 02

France and the Syrian Crisis: Calls for Action, Diplomatic Frustration

When François Hollande became President of France in May 2012, the Syrian civil war had already been underway for over a year. France had historically close ties to Syria and Lebanon — France had been the mandatory power in both territories and maintained significant cultural and political relationships.

Hollande's France became one of the most vocal European countries calling for international action on Syria. France was among the first to recognize the Syrian National Coalition as the 'sole legitimate representative' of the Syrian people. French officials repeatedly called for stronger international responses to the Assad government's violence.

**The Ghouta Moment: August 2013**

After the Ghouta sarin attack of August 21, 2013, Hollande was among the most hawkish Western leaders calling for military strikes against Assad. France was prepared to participate in military action. President Obama had declared a 'red line' and announced strikes were coming.

Then, on September 10, 2013, Obama announced he would seek Congressional authorization before striking — and the Russian-brokered chemical weapons deal emerged as an alternative. The strikes were called off. Hollande, who had been ready to act, found himself unable to act unilaterally and had to accept the diplomatic alternative.

The failure to strike after Ghouta was widely seen as a decisive moment that emboldened Assad and signaled to the regime that there were no real red lines. Hollande expressed frustration at what he saw as the abandonment of the principle that chemical weapons use would have consequences.
Confirmed(85%)Sensitivity: medium
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Paris, November 2015: When Syria's War Came to France

On November 13, 2015, coordinated ISIS attacks struck Paris. Suicide bombers attacked the Stade de France stadium during a football match. Gunmen attacked cafes and restaurants in the 10th and 11th arrondissements. A team of attackers stormed the Bataclan concert hall, massacring 90 people during a concert. In total, 130 people were killed in the deadliest attack on French soil since World War II.

The attackers were mostly French and Belgian citizens who had traveled to Syria to join ISIS and had returned. The Paris attacks were a direct consequence of ISIS's rise in Syria — of the territorial state that the organization had built in the power vacuum of the Syrian civil war, which allowed it to train operatives, plan attacks, and export violence to Europe.

Hollande declared a state of emergency and announced that France was 'at war' with ISIS. France intensified its airstrikes against ISIS in Syria. The attacks also triggered a sharp political debate in France about immigration, security, and the Syrian refugee crisis — as some politicians attempted to link the attacks to Syrian refugees entering Europe (despite the fact that the attackers were European citizens).

The Paris attacks encapsulated the blowback from the Syrian catastrophe: a state that had failed, producing both a jihadist organization with territorial control and a refugee crisis, with consequences felt thousands of miles from Damascus.

Hollande's presidency ended in 2017 without the Syria crisis having been resolved — Assad was still in power, the war continued, and millions of Syrians remained in exile. France had called for action, been frustrated at every turn, and suffered terrorist attacks that were partly a consequence of a crisis it could not resolve.
Confirmed(85%)Sensitivity: medium

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